According to the November issue of Fortune Magazine, while 2017 still may be a rough year for the financial markets, history shows us that after each election, no matter who wins, there is a dip in the market that corrects itself. We have the benefit of hindsight that the article’s author, Taylor Tepper, (a staff writer at Money) didn’t have. We KNOW the finale of the election results.
What comes through in the November article is: while The President can have a major impact on our day-to-day lives, presidential politics has a very minor impact on the stock markets. Over the long run.
Keeping Emotions in Check
The one thing that can be said about this presidential election is that: emotionally, this was probably one of the most volatile races ever run. Based on campaign speeches and Donald Trump’s win, logically, investors should focus on coal miners, small-cap U.S. companies, and any construction company that might benefit from a wall being built. But that type of logic doesn’t hold true historically. Based on that, in 2008 (post-Obama win), the firearms market should have died. Smith & Wesson stock is up 900% of what it was five years ago, whereas clean energy is down 49%. Go figure.
Recession Coming? Oh yeah.
Taylor Tepper‘s Fortune article: “Over the past 150 years, the average economic expansion has lasted about 39 months. The current upturn, which began in June 2009, shortly after Obama took office, is in its 89th month, making it the fourth-longest since the Civil War. This means, if history is any indication, that either of today’s candidates is relatively likely to confront a recession early in his or her administration.”
What Can My Organization Do to Thrive?
Now is the time to start planning your strategy for the next 4 years. Certain industries are more recession-proof than others. Healthcare, for instance, is typically not impacted as much by a dip in the economy. But leveraging for growth can at least help level your revenue.
- Know what regulation & legislation is coming in the future in terms of your industry.
- Plan a strategy for growth while accommodating legislative trends.
- Get your views on upcoming legislation heard by the right people in power.
- Draft new legislation that protects the values and needs of your organization.
To read the full Fortune Magazine article by Taylor Tepper, click here.
At Cansler Consulting we understand that in Washington, D.C. change is the only constant. Advocacy in Washington is also changing and we are at the forefront using new technologies and data to help us focus on strategies that improve our client's return on investment. Our core lobbying strategies are driven by the value at stake from federal legislative & regulatory actions. Leading studies indicate that today's business value impacted by government and regulatory action, or inaction can reach as high as 30 percent of earnings for most companies.
With as much as one-third of earnings at stake, it is imperative that companies, industries and organizations engage in government relations.
If you need effective representation from a bipartisan, entrepreneurial government relations firm contact Cansler Consulting. We are certified by the National Institute of Lobbying and Ethics and have decades of experience assisting clients in issue areas including Agriculture, Budget & Appropriations, Food Safety, Transportation & Infrastructure, International Trade and Energy. Through our relationships established in Washington, D.C. and throughout the U.S. for over two decades we can help you the legislative and regulatory processes on Capitol Hill and inside federal agencies. You can contact us at
- Is Your Government Relations Team #SmartWorking? - April 14, 2020
- President Trump Challenges to Use Better Infrastructure Techniques - April 6, 2020
- COVID-19: U.S. Stimulus Package #3 - April 1, 2020
